Oil Exports, Political Issues, and Stock Market Nexus

نویسندگان

چکیده

This study investigates the influence of oil export and political issues on Iraq's stock exchange using various Ordinary Least Square regression models. The empirical results show that model's effect is not similar based explanatory variables included, such as Covid-19 outbreak, financial crisis, parliament elections, ISIS emergence are significant. In contrast, internal conflict, export, prices substantial effects index Iraq from (2004 to 2021); researchers in literature have neglected this market due its novel establishment after (2003). Moreover, capitalization still considers very small compared regional markets. contributes existing knowledge because most studies determinants consider political, economic, democratic, or governmental factors. here, elements included new measurements, conflict by cutting off share Kurdistan region central state budget. Finally, analysis incorporates conclusions with straightforward suggestions policymakers can use, government, investors, supervisors control risk.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Reinvestigation of Oil Price-Stock Market Nexus in Iran: A SVAR Approach

In this paper we investigate the effect of oil price shocks on stock market index in Iran, by using of a structural VAR (SVAR) approach. We used four variables in the model namely Kilian index, global oil supply, real oil price and real stock market index. The data are monthly and spanning the period 1997M10-2014M12. We identify the effect of four different shocks on stock market including oil ...

متن کامل

Reanalysis of Iowa Political Stock Market

From IPSM’s data in 1988, Forsythe and his colleagues proved that even though there were substantial judgment bias, Iowa Political Stock Market worked quite well in the sense that its estimation of presidential candidates’ popular vote share surprisingly close, much better than the forecasts of opinion-polls. They explained that the judgment bias only referred to average traders, but market pri...

متن کامل

Can Oil Prices Predict Stock Market Returns?

This paper performs an empirical investigation into the relationship between oil price and stock markets returns for seven countries (Kuwait, Oman, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, UK and USA) by applying the Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis. During this period oil prices have tripled creating a substantial cash surplus for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries while simultaneously creating inc...

متن کامل

reinvestigation of oil price-stock market nexus in iran: a svar approach

in this paper we investigate the effect of oil price shocks on stock market index in iran, by using of a structural var (svar) approach. we used four variables in the model namely kilian index, global oil supply, real oil price and real stock market index. the data are monthly and spanning the period 1997m10-2014m12. we identify the effect of four different shocks on stock market including oil ...

متن کامل

Political Events and the Stock Market: Evidence from Israel

The past decade has seen increasing activity regarding the peace process between Israel and its Arab neighbors. In this paper I study the return patterns of the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange index and of Israeli firms’ stocks traded in the United-States following announcements of news related to the peace process. I find that returns on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange following political events are more ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2146-4553']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.13867